Boot
🚨 TWO INJURIES JUST REWROTE YOUR LINEUP 🚨
❌ Nico Collins OUT ➡️ ✅ START DALTON SCHULTZ
❌ Zay Flowers OUT ➡️ ✅ START MARK ANDREWS
Both were already the #2 target earner on their own team. Now they're the #1. 📈
🎯 SCHULTZ vs CIN — 8 targets (21.1% share) on 31 routes in Week 1 WITH Collins healthy. Collins takes 10 targets and 42.8% of Houston's air yards out the door. Expected points: 11.4. Actual: 7.5, on two drops. The usage was already there.
🟣 ANDREWS vs NO — he and Flowers TIED for the team target lead (6 each, 24% apiece). Flowers' 150 yards were 46.3% of everything Baltimore caught. Behind them: Bateman 1 target, 0 catches. Nobody else exists — on an offense that just hung 506 yards and 41 points. 💥
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🔒 THREE MORE LOCKS
⚡ PARKER WASHINGTON at DEN
Tough matchup. Start him anyway. Every single thing he did in Week 1 came before halftime: 11 yards ➡️ 30-yard TD ➡️ 6 ➡️ 22 ➡️ 14. That's 6 targets, 5 catches, 83 yards and a score — ALL in the first half. Jacksonville went up 34-10 and stopped throwing. He saw ZERO targets after the break. 😤
On just 15 routes he still took 26.1% of the targets and 42.6% of the air yards at a 16.8 aDOT.
Denver's real — but KC hung 31 points and 392 yards on them Monday and went 9-for-17 on third down. 🍿
(Straight talk: KC did it on the ground, 220 rush yards at 5.8 a carry. We're starting Washington on role, not matchup.)
🏃 BUCKY IRVING vs CLE
Last week was SCRIPT, not skill. Cincy led 14-3 ➡️ 24-10 ➡️ 27-13. Tampa trailed wire to wire and threw their way back. Bucky still went 8 carries, 45 yards, 5.6 a pop, a TD, 62.5% success rate, 3.0 yards after contact — and led the WHOLE TEAM in targets (7 catches on 7 looks). 👀
Eight carries is the entire story. Cleveland rolls into Tampa off a 34-10 loss where they gave up 32 carries. Neutral script turns those 8 into 18. 📊
🥶 BROCK PURDY vs MIA
25 of 34 ➡️ 205 yards ➡️ 3 TDs ➡️ 105.6 rating. Zero sacks on 36 dropbacks while pressured on 27.8% of them. +1.9 CPOE. Miami lost 27-13 in Vegas with 259 total yards, 2-for-10 on third down and 25 minutes of possession. A team that can't hold the ball hands SF exactly the volume Purdy turns into three scores.
